With two weeks left to play, five teams have officially clinched a spot in the NFL postseason. That field can expand this weekend with the Chiefs, Rams, Saints, Panthers, and Falcons all able to lock up playoff berths just by winning.

For most of the teams on the outside looking in, there’s no more margin for error, and the season will have to end just right for them to climb into the picture.

Here’s how things look currently and how each team still alive can secure a spot in the postseason:

AFC

1. New England Patriots (11-3)**
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (11-3)**
3. Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4)*
4. Kansas City Chiefs (8-6)
5. Baltimore Ravens (9-6)
6. Tennessee Titans (8-6)

**clinched division
*clinched playoff spot

Only three teams in the AFC really look like contenders. That has left the door open for any team hovering around .500 to have a chance. Even two teams at 6-8 still have a small hope at a playoff spot, although it’s likely the two wild card spots will come down to the Titans, Bills, and Ravens.

Baltimore Ravens (9-6)

The Ravens aren’t just alive: They actually control their own destiny. Win against the Bengals, and Baltimore almost definitely takes over the No. 5 seed so long as the Titans don’t topple the Jaguars in the AFC South. Baltimore got things headed in the right direction Saturday with a 23-16 win over the Colts that pushed the team right to the edge of clinching.

ven if the Ravens lose, they can get in if:

• The Dolphins beat the Bills in Week 17

Or

• The Titans lose out with games against the Rams and Jaguars.

Of course, the Ravens can make things easier by just beating the Bengals.

Buffalo Bills (9-6)

The Bills entered the weekend in a Wild Card spot, but are on the outside for now after the Ravens beat the Colts, 23-16, on Saturday.

Getting back into that spot will be tough though, with a Week 16 matchup against the Patriots in New England on the way. If Buffalo wins, it’s in great shape, but a loss to the Patriots would mean they’d need a win over the Dolphins in Week 17 and a little help.

If it went down that way, the Bills would need:

• The Bengals to beat the Ravens

Or

• The Jaguars to beat the Titans (Week 17)
• The Titans to beat the Rams (Week 16), or the Chargers to lose at least once (vs. Jets, Raiders)

Los Angeles Chargers (7-7)

The simple scenario for the Chargers is to win against the Jets and Raiders and hope the Chiefs lose to the Dolphins and Broncos. Kansas City owns the tiebreaker, so Los Angeles would need to get to 9-7 and see the Chiefs slide to 8-8 for the AFC West title to happen.

There is also a wild card scenario for the Chargers:

• Chargers win out (vs. Jets, Raiders)
• Titans lose out (vs. Rams, Jaguars)
• Ravens win vs. Bengals
• Bills lose vs. Dolphins
• Chiefs win at least once (vs. Dolphins, Broncos)

The best bet for the Chargers is to just cross their fingers that the Chiefs go back to the way they looked in November. But the path to a wild card spot isn’t that convoluted.

Oakland Raiders (6-8)

The Raiders’ realistic chances at the playoffs ended when Derek Carr fumbled through the end zone against the Cowboys. They can’t win the AFC West, but they’re not mathematically out of the wild card race. Here’s the only scenario that gets Oakland in:

• Raiders win out (vs. Eagles, Chargers)
• Bills lose out (vs. Patriots, Dolphins)
• Titans lose out (vs. Rams, Jaguars)
• Dolphins beat the Chiefs (Week 16)
• Ravens win vs. Bengals

Just winning against the Eagles on Monday is a tall ask.

Miami Dolphins (6-8)

The playoff scenario for the other 6-8 team that’s still alive isn’t much different.

• Dolphins win out (vs. Chiefs, Bills)
• Titans lose out (vs. Rams, Jaguars)
• Bills lose out (vs. Patriots, Dolphins)
• Broncos beat the Chiefs (Week 17)
• Raiders lose at least once (vs. Eagles, Chargers)

It’s a Hail Mary, but none of the results are that farfetched.

NFC

1. Philadelphia Eagles (12-2)**
2. Minnesota Vikings (12-3)**
3. Los Angeles Rams (10-4)
4. New Orleans Saints (10-4)
5. Carolina Panthers (10-4)
6. Atlanta Falcons (9-5)

**clinched division

Unlike the AFC, every team .500 or worse is already done for the year. That’s mostly thanks to the incredibly tough NFC South that has the Saints and Panthers tied at 10-4 and the Falcons just behind at 9-5.

Had Atlanta lost to the Buccaneers on Monday, the chances for the Lions, Seahawks and Cowboys wouldn’t be that far-fetched. Instead, they’ll each need a perfect storm to get in:

Detroit Lions (8-6)

A Week 3 loss to the Falcons looms large, so the Lions will need to either top Atlanta’s record or hope for a multi-team tie for a spot.

The easy scenario is:

• Lions win out (vs. Bengals, Packers)
• Falcons lose out (vs. Saints, Panthers)

If the Lions win out and the Falcons manage to win one or both of those games, things get a little stickier:

• Lions win out (vs. Bengals, Packers)
• Either Saints (vs. Falcons, Buccaneers) or Panthers (vs. Buccaneers, Falcons) lose out
• Either Seahawks (vs. Cowboys, Cardinals) or Cowboys (vs. Seahawks, Eagles) win out

With the NFC South teams all playing each other, it’s not too tough to imagine the Lions getting in.

Seattle Seahawks (8-6)

The Seahawks don’t look like a good football team right now. To get into the postseason, Seattle would need to win out. That doesn’t look likely after a 42-7 loss to the Rams, and even if they do, the Seahawks’ Week 11 loss to the Falcons makes things complicated:

The NFC West title is still an option if the Rams lose out, but that looks unlikely. The Seahawks’ wild card scenarios aren’t much better:

• Seahawks win out (vs. Cowboys, Cardinals)
• Panthers lose out (vs. Buccaneers, Falcons)
• Saints lose out (vs. Falcons, Buccaneers)

Or

• Seahawks win out (vs. Cowboys, Cardinals)
• Lions lose at least once (vs. Bengals, Packers)
• Panthers (vs. Buccaneers, Falcons), Saints (vs. Falcons, Buccaneers), or Falcons (vs. Saints, Panthers) lose out

Neither is too difficult, but winning two more games looks like it will be tough for the hobbled Seahawks.

Dallas Cowboys (8-6)

The Cowboys probably have a better shot at getting in than the Seahawks because they have the same exact scenarios, and they’re playing better football. Seattle is in better shape mathematically because the NFC West title is still technically in reach, but Dallas has Ezekiel Elliott back in action for one last push.

Like the Seahawks, they need to win out and hope for chaos in the NFC South:

• Cowboys win out (vs. Seahawks, Eagles)
• Panthers lose out (vs. Buccaneers, Falcons)
• Saints lose out (vs. Falcons, Buccaneers)

Or

• Cowboys win out (vs. Seahawks, Eagles)
• Lions lose at least once (vs. Bengals, Packers)
• Panthers (vs. Buccaneers, Falcons), Saints (vs. Falcons, Buccaneers), or Falcons (vs. Saints, Panthers) lose out

Getting through the Seahawks and Eagles isn’t that daunting now that Seattle has collapsed, and Philadelphia is without Carson Wentz. The Eagles likely won’t have much to play for too after locking up a first-round bye in Week 15. Philadelphia can secure the No. 1 seed with a win Monday.

The season is probably over for the Cowboys, as well as the Seahawks, Lions, Dolphins, Raiders and Chargers. But it doesn’t hurt to hold on to hope while the playoffs are still possible.